Investigating the Effect of Quality Value Index and Market Time Structure on the Price Formula of Iranian Crude Oil in the Asian Market

Document Type : Research Article

Author

Assistant Professor, Energy Economics and Management Department, Faculty of Tehran, Petroleum University of Technology (PUT), Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

The Asian oil market is one of the largest markets in the world, with the largest oil customers such as China, India, etc. located in this region. Therefore, examining the country's crude oil price formula in the Asian market in terms of  technical issues of the oil market such as quality value indicators and oil market structure, in addition to price relations with crude oil market indices, is very important in explaining the country's crude oil price formula in the Asian market. Oil competitors have been trying to gain more market share in Asia in recent years by changing the price formula for crude oil. For this purpose, in this article, using the monthly data of the time series from 2013 until 2019 and multivariate GARCH method, the formula of Iranian crude oil price in the Asian market is examined based on the technical and economic parameters of the market. The results of this study show that the price of Iranian crude oil in the Asian market is a function of the quality value of Iranian crude oil compared to competitors, the degree of cantango or backwardness of the crude oil market and fluctuations in the average oil prices of Dubai and Oman. Also, the TAPIS index crude oil indirectly affects the country's oil price by affecting the Oman and Dubai crude oil markets.

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