land leverage and housing price volatility in Iran

Document Type : Research Article



Some studies define housing as a single good, while it is a bundle of land and improvements that the effect of each component in the determination of prices and services that are produced and changes over time and across locations is different. Land leverage as the ratio of land value to total value of housing is important to make clear key role of land and location among the vector of dwelling characteristic. According to the land leverage hypothesis, house price appreciation and house price volatility are directly related to land leverage. In this study using the land leverage hypothesis estimated the housing prices volatility, using the ARDL method with through the quarterly data of urban areas of IRAN during the period 1371-1392. The main feature of this study is identifying the model based on the concept of "land leverage". The results of Estimation show the importance of taking land leverage with the fundamental factors in the housing price equation. Also based on the results of the research, Land leverage is negatively related real construction costs variable. Based on the results presented, Changes in land leverage affected by changes in population, real construction costs and interest rate.


بانک مرکزی جمهوری اسلامی ایران، اداره‌ی حساب‌های اقتصادی، حساب‌های ملی ایران، سال‌های مختلف.
بانک اطلاعات سری‌های زمانی اقتصادی ایران
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